Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.200516 2.512212 2.852917 3.253087 3.710408 4.216959 4.820935
2025-08-17 1.674435 2.085336 2.575136 3.202543 3.985841 4.932836 6.166844
2025-08-24 1.431827 1.892717 2.475744 3.268486 4.320403 5.671421 7.543655
2025-08-31 1.256138 1.743409 2.390514 3.314509 4.603522 6.343459 8.880154
2025-09-07 1.102422 1.595829 2.279192 3.297174 4.780268 6.870456 10.055245
2025-09-14 0.968752 1.455923 2.156394 3.240089 4.881361 7.285559 11.096623
2025-09-21 0.867385 1.348956 2.065451 3.212939 5.013616 7.746298 12.238171
2025-09-28 0.777529 1.247988 1.970380 3.164885 5.101904 8.139370 13.303121
2025-10-05 0.759901 1.256966 2.043527 3.384457 5.628257 9.258811 15.633104
2025-10-12 0.705133 1.199412 2.003724 3.414381 5.844801 9.893747 17.219586
2025-10-19 0.674088 1.177595 2.019072 3.535508 6.222199 10.824907 19.396214
2025-10-26 0.621246 1.112814 1.955193 3.512503 6.345153 11.327351 20.861074
2025-11-02 0.565521 1.041422 1.879864 3.474293 6.460169 11.867304 22.531008
2025-11-09 0.512214 0.969611 1.798001 3.418319 6.542177 12.366423 24.204525
2025-11-16 0.482573 0.938152 1.785558 3.488872 6.866509 13.344275 26.901855
2025-11-23 0.453251 0.903897 1.763815 3.538045 7.152628 14.275333 29.608214
2025-11-30 0.419047 0.856257 1.711124 3.519522 7.300090 14.945638 31.853704
2025-12-07 0.383864 0.802858 1.641479 3.458525 7.352542 15.426262 33.750270
2025-12-14 0.355559 0.760662 1.590083 3.429514 7.467687 16.045782 36.012412
2025-12-21 0.327932 0.717026 1.531292 3.378168 7.528245 16.553179 38.079700
2025-12-28 0.328007 0.733260 1.600424 3.612789 8.243276 18.556373 43.776455
2026-01-04 0.310709 0.709222 1.580003 3.644766 8.503223 19.570573 47.279624
2026-01-11 0.302324 0.704438 1.601447 3.774202 9.001110 21.176298 52.378314